Forum The Longship OT: Housing market in college football towns

OT: Housing market in college football towns

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https://www.yahoo.com/news/college-football-clobbering-housing-markets-181305207.html

Interesting article on how college football towns are impacted by wealthy fans/investors in the housing market. Kind of nuts.

#1 · Dec 20, 5:00 AM
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Imo the point on them being treated like businesses is spot on,  whether its a home owner listing or an investor listing its a business,  and of its being done in an area not zoned for business then its a violation.   
I've got friends that have had their neighborhoods in the black hills turned into abnb parks.  They were used to it for a few weeks during the rally,  but typically the owners moved back into their homes,  now its year around cycling of people in and out of the neighboring homes,  and treating the area like kids on spring break at times.

I can totally see the same issue they are describing here.  I dont see this as a positive trend for people living in these destination areas.  I also don't see it changing anytime soon.  

Another issue this does create,   who are the employees for the local businesses  in these areas when nobody can afford the housing after outside money buys up all the real-estate for  non resident rentals?  We've seen that issue in the Hills as well.  Outside money drives locals out of the market and they find new jobs closer to their new home and there's nobody left in the previous town to work.

#2 · Dec 20, 5:47 AM
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@"JimmyinSD" said: Imo the point on them being treated like businesses is spot on,  whether its a home owner listing or an investor listing its a business,  and of its being done in an area not zoned for business then its a violation.    I've got friends that have had their neighborhoods in the black hills turned into abnb parks.  They were used to it for a few weeks during the rally,  but typically the owners moved back into their homes,  now its year around cycling of people in and out of the neighboring homes,  and treating the area like kids on spring break at times.

I can totally see the same issue they are describing here.  I dont see this as a positive trend for people living in these destination areas.  I also don't see it changing anytime soon.  

Another issue this does create,   who are the employees for the local businesses  in these areas when nobody can afford the housing after outside money buys up all the real-estate for  non resident rentals?  We've seen that issue in the Hills as well.  Outside money drives locals out of the market and they find new jobs closer to their new home and there's nobody left in the previous town to work.


Yep, definitely not a positive. The Air BnB shit has gotten completely out of control. It affects rental costs severely. And renters just don't treat property like they own it, so shit gets busted up, filthy, no respect for the neighbors with loud music and parties, etc. Its turning into a plague for some home owners in various pockets around the country. People will pay outrageous amounts for 'experiences' right now, racking up unprecedented debt. And then those that can afford it don't care how much it costs. 

Interesting sidetone: so my wife and I had traveled to Italy/Spain just over two years ago: we got a walking tour in Florence and in this one beautiful large piazza all the elevated homes surrounding it (and I mean all of them) are all Air BnB because tourists who will pay ANYTHING to stay there. They make hundreds of thousands of dollars renting them out annually. 

#3 · Dec 20, 5:57 AM
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@"StickyBun" said:
@"JimmyinSD" said: Imo the point on them being treated like businesses is spot on,  whether its a home owner listing or an investor listing its a business,  and of its being done in an area not zoned for business then its a violation.    I've got friends that have had their neighborhoods in the black hills turned into abnb parks.  They were used to it for a few weeks during the rally,  but typically the owners moved back into their homes,  now its year around cycling of people in and out of the neighboring homes,  and treating the area like kids on spring break at times.

I can totally see the same issue they are describing here.  I dont see this as a positive trend for people living in these destination areas.  I also don't see it changing anytime soon.  

Another issue this does create,   who are the employees for the local businesses  in these areas when nobody can afford the housing after outside money buys up all the real-estate for  non resident rentals?  We've seen that issue in the Hills as well.  Outside money drives locals out of the market and they find new jobs closer to their new home and there's nobody left in the previous town to work.


Yep, definitely not a positive. The Air BnB shit has gotten completely out of control. It affects rental costs severely. And renters just don't treat property like they own it, so shit gets busted up, filthy, no respect for the neighbors with loud music and parties, etc. Its turning into a plague for some home owners in various pockets around the country. People will pay outrageous amounts for 'experiences' right now, racking up unprecedented debt. And then those that can afford it don't care how much it costs. 

Interesting sidetone: so my wife and I had traveled to Italy/Spain just over two years ago: we got a walking tour in Florence and in this one beautiful large piazza all the elevated homes surrounding it (and I mean all of them) are all Air BnB because tourists who will pay ANYTHING to stay there. They make hundreds of thousands of dollars renting them out annually. 



my brother went to black hills state in Spearfish SD,  him and some buddies rented a monster house annually for their time there and got it pretty cheap for what they had,  the one caveat.... they had to be out for 4 weeks around the Sturgis Rally,  the family that owned the house made more in that month of the rally than what my brother and 4 or 5 friends paid for the rest of the year.  as you say,  people will pay for an experience.

#4 · Dec 20, 4:45 PM
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In the era of large scale inflation, people with assets will
see their assets inflate in value, and people without assets will be priced out
of the market.  And we’re seeing that
play out in housing market where it just makes sense for anyone with money or
collateral to go out and buy housing and try to turn it into an investment.  AirBNB is interesting because it’s an asset
class that normal people can afford, and I don’t think the short term rental
business should be limited to massive buildings.  It’s also real nice to have a kitchen, be immersed
in a neighborhood, etc.  But it
absolutely is taking units off the housing market for regular people.  Similarly, investors who buy houses for long
term rentals, that then charge more for rent than a persons mortgage would cost
are taking units off the housing market for people looking to purchase a home.

I think local governments need to do studies to find out how
many houses need to be available to support all 3 of these needs, and when
there’s shortages in housing there needs to be some amount of regulation to ensure
that local homeowners-to-be get priority, and then long term rentals, and then
AirBNB.  I really think we’ll probably
see communities have to start laying hefty taxes onto people that are buying
houses for AirBNB or long term rentals and potentially returns that money to people
that are looking to buy their first homes. 
It seems like the simplest and most obvious way to balance the havoc
that inflation is causing between the capital and labor populations.

I think there’s also probably going to have to be some sort
of method for ensuring that there’s too many houses on the market.  As long as there’s a shortage of houses to
purchase, people will go into as much debt as possible as long as the bank will
create the money for them, because the debt is killing our nation.  There needs to be some amount of empty
housing to keep prices low, and we need to figure out how to do that.

#5 · Dec 21, 1:36 PM
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It's a problem without a good solution currently, so I assume the AirBNB/housing shortage will be a problem for a long time.
On a much smaller and less drastic scale, you see the same thing with NFL tickets. Of course Joe Viking Fan doesn't want to see green and yellow in the stands at USB. But if you're a season ticket holder and can pay for half the season of tickets by selling your Packer game tickets, suddenly that option sounds pretty darn good to a lot of people. Especially to those people who are tight on cash but want to go to Vikings games.
Housing is different of course but if people (or companies) can make money by buying property and renting it out, it's hard to tell them not to. Even harder to force them not to.

#6 · Dec 21, 3:35 PM
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do abnb renters have to pay local bed and booze taxes and the other bull shit cities tack onto hotel stays to target visitors to those cities?

#7 · Dec 21, 6:03 PM
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@"medaille" said:

I think local governments need to do studies to find out how
many houses need to be available to support all 3 of these needs, and when
there’s shortages in housing there needs to be some amount of regulation to ensure
that local homeowners-to-be get priority, and then long term rentals, and then
AirBNB.  I really think we’ll probably
see communities have to start laying hefty taxes onto people that are buying
houses for AirBNB or long term rentals and potentially returns that money to people
that are looking to buy their first homes. 
It seems like the simplest and most obvious way to balance the havoc
that inflation is causing between the capital and labor populations.


This will never, EVER happen. What will happen is and is already happening is that there will be places people can't afford to live. How would you regulate 'local homeowners' getting priority? You can't regulate what people do with their private property outside of HOAs. REITs already skew the housing numbers and projections....so many people don't even know what those are. There's no stopping investment trusts from buying real estate and there won't be as their lobby is massive. Hell, the large ones are on the stock market. 

Its a shitty situation what is happening now, there's zero doubt about it. 

#8 · Dec 22, 5:41 AM
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@"StickyBun" said:
@"medaille" said:

I think local governments need to do studies to find out how
many houses need to be available to support all 3 of these needs, and when
there’s shortages in housing there needs to be some amount of regulation to ensure
that local homeowners-to-be get priority, and then long term rentals, and then
AirBNB.  I really think we’ll probably
see communities have to start laying hefty taxes onto people that are buying
houses for AirBNB or long term rentals and potentially returns that money to people
that are looking to buy their first homes. 
It seems like the simplest and most obvious way to balance the havoc
that inflation is causing between the capital and labor populations.


This will never, EVER happen. What will happen is and is already happening is that there will be places people can't afford to live. How would you regulate 'local homeowners' getting priority? You can't regulate what people do with their private property outside of HOAs. REITs already skew the housing numbers and projections....so many people don't even know what those are. There's no stopping investment trusts from buying real estate and there won't be as their lobby is massive. Hell, the large ones are on the stock market. 

Its a shitty situation what is happening now, there's zero doubt about it. 



Disparity between and the "Haves and Have-Nots" keeps widening but can't forever.  Thier will be a tipping point.

#9 · Dec 22, 10:17 AM
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@"minny65" said:
@"StickyBun" said:
@"medaille" said:

I think local governments need to do studies to find out how
many houses need to be available to support all 3 of these needs, and when
there’s shortages in housing there needs to be some amount of regulation to ensure
that local homeowners-to-be get priority, and then long term rentals, and then
AirBNB.  I really think we’ll probably
see communities have to start laying hefty taxes onto people that are buying
houses for AirBNB or long term rentals and potentially returns that money to people
that are looking to buy their first homes. 
It seems like the simplest and most obvious way to balance the havoc
that inflation is causing between the capital and labor populations.


This will never, EVER happen. What will happen is and is already happening is that there will be places people can't afford to live. How would you regulate 'local homeowners' getting priority? You can't regulate what people do with their private property outside of HOAs. REITs already skew the housing numbers and projections....so many people don't even know what those are. There's no stopping investment trusts from buying real estate and there won't be as their lobby is massive. Hell, the large ones are on the stock market. 

Its a shitty situation what is happening now, there's zero doubt about it. 



Disparity between and the "Haves and Have-Nots" keeps widening but can't forever.  Thier will be a tipping point.


You'd think that might be the case, but with all the pacifiers in place for the 'have-nots', I don't think there will be. 

#10 · Dec 22, 10:20 AM
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@"StickyBun" said:
@"minny65" said:
@"StickyBun" said:
@"medaille" said:

I think local governments need to do studies to find out how
many houses need to be available to support all 3 of these needs, and when
there’s shortages in housing there needs to be some amount of regulation to ensure
that local homeowners-to-be get priority, and then long term rentals, and then
AirBNB.  I really think we’ll probably
see communities have to start laying hefty taxes onto people that are buying
houses for AirBNB or long term rentals and potentially returns that money to people
that are looking to buy their first homes. 
It seems like the simplest and most obvious way to balance the havoc
that inflation is causing between the capital and labor populations.


This will never, EVER happen. What will happen is and is already happening is that there will be places people can't afford to live. How would you regulate 'local homeowners' getting priority? You can't regulate what people do with their private property outside of HOAs. REITs already skew the housing numbers and projections....so many people don't even know what those are. There's no stopping investment trusts from buying real estate and there won't be as their lobby is massive. Hell, the large ones are on the stock market. 

Its a shitty situation what is happening now, there's zero doubt about it. 



Disparity between and the "Haves and Have-Nots" keeps widening but can't forever.  Thier will be a tipping point.


You'd think that might be the case, but with all the pacifiers in place for the 'have-nots', I don't think there will be. 


I dont know,  there used to be more distinct classes of society,  as more get pushed into poverty or close to it,  that used to be able to live a comfortable lifestyle,  I think you will see more of a stink coming from our former blue collar crowd,  especially over the next decade or so as AI, and robotics really ramps up.  What are all the truckers going to do when we go to self driving trucks?  I've been listening to a lot of tech podcasts the last month and I dont see the rosy future for a lot of careers.  The inventors always say they those displaced will be retrained into other areas,  but will those other areas pay living wages,  and how long before those jobs are automated?   I hear people talking about being scared right now because of the threat of a nuclear war,  I think we should be more afraid of how we are going to keep everyone fed and housed when computers and robots will be eliminating countless jobs over the next decade or so.

another industry i see getting majorly downsized is the farming game.  what are all of Americas farmers going to do when JDeere, Dow, Monsanto, etc realize they dont need Farmer Brown any longer?  I would guess we are less than 20 years from fully automated farming,  and I dont think it will be those in control of the land right now running those farms.  We are already seeing it on the livestock side where the packers are owning more and more of the process,  its surely going to happen to the feed size as well.

#11 · Dec 22, 10:41 AM
DE
Joined Apr 2026
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Rep: 0
@"StickyBun" said:
@"medaille" said:

I think local governments need to do studies to find out how
many houses need to be available to support all 3 of these needs, and when
there’s shortages in housing there needs to be some amount of regulation to ensure
that local homeowners-to-be get priority, and then long term rentals, and then
AirBNB.  I really think we’ll probably
see communities have to start laying hefty taxes onto people that are buying
houses for AirBNB or long term rentals and potentially returns that money to people
that are looking to buy their first homes. 
It seems like the simplest and most obvious way to balance the havoc
that inflation is causing between the capital and labor populations.


This will never, EVER happen. What will happen is and is already happening is that there will be places people can't afford to live. How would you regulate 'local homeowners' getting priority? You can't regulate what people do with their private property outside of HOAs. REITs already skew the housing numbers and projections....so many people don't even know what those are. There's no stopping investment trusts from buying real estate and there won't be as their lobby is massive. Hell, the large ones are on the stock market. 

Its a shitty situation what is happening now, there's zero doubt about it. 



We already regulate what people do with private property.  We have zoning laws.  You can't just buy some land and do whatever you want on them.  Different businesses are restricted from different areas.  One could simply say, that all people providing short term rental accommodations need to be in XYZ zoning.  Licensing.  There's a lot of business types that are illegal to perform no matter where you are, and become legal once you become licensed.  Just start calling airbnb unlicensed housing, and charge them an annual license feel based on how much housing they have.  Property taxes.   People pay property taxes based on the value of their house.  It sure feels like someone who owns a home that is generating a revenue is a lot more valuable than someone who owns a home that does not.  Alternatively ... you can just tax everyones property a shit ton and then provide a very large tax credit for your primary residence.  Everyone with only one home that they are living in won't notice a difference.  Service fees.  Tack on $30 fee per day stayed for being part of the service industry.

The government has no shortage of options for how to control how we conduct business.  Up until a little while ago we didn't allow food trucks.  You couldn't take the truck you already owned and start selling tacos out of it.  Now you can.  They just wrote some laws ad it was done.

#12 · Dec 22, 2:11 PM
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Joined Apr 2026
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@"StickyBun" said:
@"minny65" said:
@"StickyBun" said:
@"medaille" said:

I think local governments need to do studies to find out how
many houses need to be available to support all 3 of these needs, and when
there’s shortages in housing there needs to be some amount of regulation to ensure
that local homeowners-to-be get priority, and then long term rentals, and then
AirBNB.  I really think we’ll probably
see communities have to start laying hefty taxes onto people that are buying
houses for AirBNB or long term rentals and potentially returns that money to people
that are looking to buy their first homes. 
It seems like the simplest and most obvious way to balance the havoc
that inflation is causing between the capital and labor populations.


This will never, EVER happen. What will happen is and is already happening is that there will be places people can't afford to live. How would you regulate 'local homeowners' getting priority? You can't regulate what people do with their private property outside of HOAs. REITs already skew the housing numbers and projections....so many people don't even know what those are. There's no stopping investment trusts from buying real estate and there won't be as their lobby is massive. Hell, the large ones are on the stock market. 

Its a shitty situation what is happening now, there's zero doubt about it. 



Disparity between and the "Haves and Have-Nots" keeps widening but can't forever.  Thier will be a tipping point.


You'd think that might be the case, but with all the pacifiers in place for the 'have-nots', I don't think there will be. 


What are the pacifiers you are referring to?  Legal weed?  Abundant Meth and Opioids?  Reduced prosecution for "noble" crime?  Let the people without housing live on the street, but with dignity?  Basically San Francisco?  Legal Euthanasia?

If you're talking like sports and tv, restaurants and bars and what not, these are rapidly being removed from affordability. 

I think pacifiers work when you are talking about a relatively large middle class where people can afford common decency.  I don't think pacifiers exist when you are erasing things that people used to take for granted.  When your 36 year old kid is staying in your house indefinitely because they can't afford a down payment.  you're going to start being more motivated and pacification will be less appealing?  When your "smart" kid decides not to go to college because it's too expensive and thinks that working at Wal-mart is the best option for her, and you're watching her not live up to her potential nor have a path to fulfilling it.  What pacifies that?  When your kids decide to opt out from having children of there own because kids are too expensive and you're facing the fact of watching your genes and your family tree end before your eyes.  When your wife starts buying the super thin toilet paper that sandpapers your ass and you start trying to weigh the conflicting thoughts of you're middle class, you're not that poor, but why are we buying this shit.  When you can't leave your too small starter house, because you can't afford to take out a mortgage with interest rates 3x higher than your current interest rate.

The middle class is rapidly being converted into the lower class.  We're all watching our society go backwards, while at the same time technology is making the production of everything easier and cheaper.  Robots and software are doing more and more every year.  People honing in on retirement are probably the most insulated because they have had their whole life to acquire assets, which appreciated in value.  There will be a tipping point.  We are very close to the tipping point.

#13 · Dec 22, 2:55 PM
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@"JimmyinSD" said:
@"StickyBun" said:
@"minny65" said:
@"StickyBun" said:
@"medaille" said:

I think local governments need to do studies to find out how
many houses need to be available to support all 3 of these needs, and when
there’s shortages in housing there needs to be some amount of regulation to ensure
that local homeowners-to-be get priority, and then long term rentals, and then
AirBNB.  I really think we’ll probably
see communities have to start laying hefty taxes onto people that are buying
houses for AirBNB or long term rentals and potentially returns that money to people
that are looking to buy their first homes. 
It seems like the simplest and most obvious way to balance the havoc
that inflation is causing between the capital and labor populations.


This will never, EVER happen. What will happen is and is already happening is that there will be places people can't afford to live. How would you regulate 'local homeowners' getting priority? You can't regulate what people do with their private property outside of HOAs. REITs already skew the housing numbers and projections....so many people don't even know what those are. There's no stopping investment trusts from buying real estate and there won't be as their lobby is massive. Hell, the large ones are on the stock market. 

Its a shitty situation what is happening now, there's zero doubt about it. 



Disparity between and the "Haves and Have-Nots" keeps widening but can't forever.  Thier will be a tipping point.


You'd think that might be the case, but with all the pacifiers in place for the 'have-nots', I don't think there will be. 


I dont know,  there used to be more distinct classes of society,  as more get pushed into poverty or close to it,  that used to be able to live a comfortable lifestyle,  I think you will see more of a stink coming from our former blue collar crowd,  especially over the next decade or so as AI, and robotics really ramps up.  What are all the truckers going to do when we go to self driving trucks?  I've been listening to a lot of tech podcasts the last month and I dont see the rosy future for a lot of careers.  The inventors always say they those displaced will be retrained into other areas,  but will those other areas pay living wages,  and how long before those jobs are automated?   I hear people talking about being scared right now because of the threat of a nuclear war,  I think we should be more afraid of how we are going to keep everyone fed and housed when computers and robots will be eliminating countless jobs over the next decade or so.

another industry i see getting majorly downsized is the farming game.  what are all of Americas farmers going to do when JDeere, Dow, Monsanto, etc realize they dont need Farmer Brown any longer?  I would guess we are less than 20 years from fully automated farming,  and I dont think it will be those in control of the land right now running those farms.  We are already seeing it on the livestock side where the packers are owning more and more of the process,  its surely going to happen to the feed size as well.



I think it's inevitable that at some point, we're going to develop a semi-competent AI, slap it in a semi-competent humanoid body, and it will just replace all unskilled workers.  When you can make a robot human that costs less than a real human, why hire real humans?  Humanity will have to address this going forward.  Are you going to have the 1% that already own everything own all the robots and they can decide whether we get food or if farmland needs to be returned to nature because humans are destroying the planet?  I think we need to be owners of the means of production for the stuff we consume (give or take)

#14 · Dec 22, 3:03 PM
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@"medaille" said:
People honing in on retirement are probably the most insulated because they have had their whole life to acquire assets, which appreciated in value.  There will be a tipping point.  We are very close to the tipping point.
I think this is the demographic of this site or at least the 15 or so posters.  Most of us have the means/resources to help our adult children afford the new economy.  But I am not sure if those kids will have anything to pass on from there.  Most of our kids won't get married until early 30's if at all, many will have 1 kid no more or maybe no kids, they will not own a home until their 40's.  The Tipping point is not far off.  
#15 · Dec 23, 11:20 AM
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Forum The Longship OT: Housing market in college football towns

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