ESPN BET NFCN Odds

Look, I know I'm biased, but how does it make any sense that the Packers have better odds than the Vikings? 

Packers won three fewer games than we did last year. They were swept by the Vikings. That team is replacing Josh Meyers with Aaron Banks and replacing Jaire Alexander (presumably) with Nate Hobbs. Meh. They drafted a couple good looking WRs, but the Vikings completely rebuilt the weak interior on what was already a top half OL. They also get Darrisaw back, and for the first time in years, have some inside pass rush with former Pro Bowlers, Allen and Hargrave, to go with an already very good outside pass rush. And let's not forget Dallas Turner entering year two. 

I know, I know...it's ALL about the QB. I've said it myself a dozen times. But those things that turned Sam Darnold into the goddamn Ginger Jesus are still there for JJ McCarthy.

MaroonBells wrote:
Look, I know I'm biased, but how does it make any sense that the Packers have better odds than the Vikings? 

Packers won three fewer games than we did last year. They were swept by the Vikings. That team is replacing Josh Meyers with Aaron Banks and replacing Jaire Alexander (presumably) with Nate Hobbs. Meh. They drafted a couple good looking WRs, but the Vikings completely rebuilt the weak interior on what was already a top half OL. They also get Darrisaw back, and for the first time in years, have some inside pass rush with former Pro Bowlers, Allen and Hargrave, to go with an already very good outside pass rush. And let's not forget Dallas Turner entering year two. 

I know, I know...it's ALL about the QB. I've said it myself a dozen times. But those things that turned Sam Darnold into the goddamn Ginger Jesus are still there for JJ McCarthy.

Yeah, it's all about the QB. I worry about Detroit a bit so I probably won't make this bet. But I have no worries about Green Bay, the team that blocked a last second field goal or would have finished in last place, nor The Bears.
I actually wish the odds were higher. Then I would be tempted to bet it.
I will do like you and I did last year. I will bet the over on wins and smile at those with so little faith!

If you feel it's an underlay you should bet it. If JJM does well right out of the gate, the current price is the best you'll get.

The win total market might be a better investment. They could improve and still not win the division but the last number I saw was o/u 8.5. The team around the QB is, on paper, better than last year.

The obstacles are a tougher schedule and injury and turnover luck are likely to regress, but if JJM is any good, 9 wins should be doable. I think the ceiling if all goes well is 10-12 wins.